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TheBias Brief

The HillSig. 6NewsElectionsPolitics

Democrat leads Marshall in tight Kansas Senate race: Poll

A new poll shows Democrat Adam Hamilton narrowly leading Republican Gov. Roger Marshall in the Kansas Senate race, 45 percent to 43 percent, with 4 percent backing a Libertarian and 8 percent undecided. The same survey shows Republican Ty Masterson leading Democrat Cindy Holscher in the Kansas governor's race, while analysts still rate the Senate race likely Republican.

BBC NewsSig. 7NewsPoliticsForeignElections

'Don't be silly' over Falklands and Irish unity, top Tory tells Trump

Tom Tugendhat, the UK shadow foreign secretary, dismissed Donald Trump's comments on the Falkland Islands and Irish reunification as electioneering, saying Britain must sometimes tell him "don't be silly." The article also covers his remarks on China sanctions, Israel, the EU, and Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch.

Neutral

The HillSig. 5NewsElectionsPolitics

Alaska governor’s race shifts to toss up: Cook Political Report

Cook Political Report moved Alaska’s gubernatorial race to a toss-up, citing new AARP polling that shows Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leading while Republican candidates split support. The report points to ranked-choice voting and GOP voters’ failure to rank candidates as factors helping Kreiss-Tomkins and hurting Bernadette Wilson.

Neutral

New York PostSig. 6NewsElectionsPoliticsEconomy

Shock poll shows another huge swing in California governor’s race

A new PPIC poll shows Democrat Xavier Becerra leading Republican Steve Hilton 60% to 38% in the California governor race, a wider margin than earlier surveys. Hilton disputes the poll, while a Republican strategist predicts a likely Becerra blowout. The article also notes support for a billionaire tax measure and economic pessimism among Californians.

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National ReviewSig. 7AnalysisElectionsPolitics

The Senate Races Are Breaking Bad Already

The article analyzes early Senate race polling using a historical 'Breakers' metric, arguing that if Trump's approval is below 40% on Election Day, Republicans will face severe midterm losses. It focuses on what Republicans need to win individual Senate contests.

Neutral

AxiosSig. 6AnalysisPoliticsElections

Inside House Democrats' behind-the-scenes food fight

The article reports behind-the-scenes tensions among House Democrats after centrist defections on procedural votes and a progressive-led impeachment vote, with leadership facing criticism from both moderates and progressives. It details complaints about Jeffries and Clark's control and threats to committee assignments, while leadership denies any split.

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Washington ExaminerSig. 4NewsElectionsPolitics

Here are the states that begin early voting for midterm elections in September

The article lists states beginning early voting in September for the 2026 midterm elections, including Virginia, South Dakota, Minnesota, and Illinois, with key registration and ballot deadlines. It also notes the Virginia House races, including the toss-up 2nd District matchup between Rep. Jen Kiggans and Elaine Luria.

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The HillSig. 7NewsElectionsLawPolitics

Missouri GOP lays out map fight in US appeals court as ballot window closes

A federal appeals court heard arguments Thursday over Missouri’s congressional map as the state prepares to send out ballots, with judges weighing whether it is too late to change the lines. The dispute follows a Supreme Court emergency order that blocked a newer 7-1 map and left a 6-2 GOP-favorable map in place. The case could return to the Supreme Court.

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